Steven C. Wheelwright Bücher

This comprehensive, easy-to-use reference explains which forecasting methods work, which don't -- and why. Leading forecasters, planners, and developers address specific issues and problems of forecasting, including management requirements for forecasts, techniques for preparing forecasts, issues in forecasting applications, and managing the forecasting function. This updated edition features new chapters on load forecasting, demographic forecasting, high-order smoothing methods, ARIMA models and forecasting using experience curves. Also examines the forecasting challenges of the 80's and offers pinpoint guidance to management planning techniques.

Known from its last editions as the "Bible of Forecasting", the third edition of this authoritative text has adopted a new approach-one that is as new as the latest trends in the field: "Explaining the past is not adequate for predicting the future". In other words, accurate forecasting requires more than just the fitting of models to historical data. Inside, readers will find the latest techniques used by managers in business today, discover the importance of forecasting and learn how it's accomplished. And readers will develop the necessary skills to meet the increased demand for thoughtful and realistic forecasts.

Argues that a company's capability to conceive and design quality prototypes and bring a variety of products to market more quickly than its competitors is increasingly the focal point of competition. The authors present principles for developing speed and efficiency.