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Expert Political Judgment

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It is the somewhat gratifying lesson of Philip Tetlock's new book . . . that people who make prediction their business--people who appear as experts on television, get quoted in newspaper articles, advise governments and businesses, and participate in punditry roundtables--are no better than the rest of us. When they're wrong, they're rarely held accountable, and they rarely admit it, either. . . . It would be nice if there were fewer partisans on television disguised as analysts and experts. . . . But the best lesson of Tetlock's book may be the one that he seems most reluctant to draw: Think for yourself.--Louis Menand, The New Yorker

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Expert Political Judgment, Philip E. Tetlock

Sprache
Erscheinungsdatum
2017
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Titel
Expert Political Judgment
Sprache
Englisch
Erscheinungsdatum
2017
Einband
Paperback
Seitenzahl
368
ISBN10
0691175977
ISBN13
9780691175973
Reihe
Bewertung
3,95 von 5 Sternen
Beschreibung
It is the somewhat gratifying lesson of Philip Tetlock's new book . . . that people who make prediction their business--people who appear as experts on television, get quoted in newspaper articles, advise governments and businesses, and participate in punditry roundtables--are no better than the rest of us. When they're wrong, they're rarely held accountable, and they rarely admit it, either. . . . It would be nice if there were fewer partisans on television disguised as analysts and experts. . . . But the best lesson of Tetlock's book may be the one that he seems most reluctant to draw: Think for yourself.--Louis Menand, The New Yorker