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Peter Mora

    Microscopic and macroscopic simulation: towards predictive modelling of the earthquake process
    • This work delves into various aspects of seismic activity and earthquake phenomena through detailed numerical and microscopic simulations. It covers the numerical simulation of localization phenomena in fault zones, shear heating in granular layers, and the extension of lattice solid models to include temperature effects. The text explores hybrid modeling of coupled pore fluid-solid deformation problems, rock failure, and earthquake processes on a mesoscopic scale. It discusses damage localization as a potential precursor to earthquake rupture and examines the predictability of evolution-induced catastrophes. The book also addresses macroscopic simulations of short and long time-scale phenomena, including rupture dynamics and ground motion during significant earthquakes. It presents critical insights into dynamic rupture models, such as those used for the 1994 Northridge earthquake and the 1995 Kobe earthquake, emphasizing the spatial distribution of peak ground velocity vectors. The text further investigates stress accumulation processes at transcurrent plate boundaries and the correlation between large earthquakes and future epicenters. Additionally, it highlights the role of precursory seismic activation, stress deficit evolution, and the implications of scaling laws in earthquake processes. The work underscores the importance of statistical physics in earthquake hazard assessment and introduces innovative theories like t

      Microscopic and macroscopic simulation: towards predictive modelling of the earthquake process